domingo, 3 de janeiro de 2016

2015 List: Mathematical Prediction: Girl Edition


 It's been a while, but here is my yearly mathematical prediction for the female SSA rank, this time for 2015:

01 Olivia (+1)
02 Emma (-1)
03 Isabella (+1)
04 Sophia (-1)
05 Ava (=)

06 Mia (=)
07 Emily (=)
08 Abigail (=)
09 Harper (+2)
10 Charlotte (=)
11 Sofia (+1)
12 Madison (-3)
13 Avery (=)
14 Evelyn (+2)
15 Elizabeth (-1)
16 Amelia (-1)
17 Victoria (+2)
18 Ella (-1)
19 Chloe (-1)
20 Grace (+1)


So if the number increases and decreases we had in 2014, were exactly the same in 2015, this is how the list would look like. Olivia would dethrone Emma (which I think is a strong possibility), Harper would leapfrog over Charlotte (although with a new royal princess named Charlotte that may prove not to be true), and absolutely no new names would join the top 20, except for Grace's return.

Now let's look at the biggest increases:

28 Ariana (+9)
33 Nora (+16)

34 Penelope (+8)
37 Skylar (+11)
43 Paisley (+10) 

46 Ellie (+9)
47 Annabelle (+10)
57 Piper (+18)
60 Eleanor (+18)
62 Mila (+10)
72 Lydia (+12)

73 Faith (+8)
86 Vivian (+12)


And the biggest decreases:

51 Samantha (-18)
55 Riley (-8)
58 Aaliyah (-13)
64 Peyton (-8)
66 Hailey (-15)
69 Aubree (-8)
76 Kaylee (-24)
81 Nevaeh (-16)
82 Alexis (-18)
87 Taylor (-10)
89 Alyssa (-13)
94 Brianna (-9)
99 Ashley (-12)


And finally the new entries:

80 Hazel
92 Aurora
93 Cora
95 Adalynn
96 Clara 


Falling out of the top 100: Alexandra, Sophie, Jasmine, Lauren, Gianna.

Looking at the new entries, I could see all of them debut, they were hot in 2014 and they continued to be hot in 2015. Aurora and Cora will join Nora in the top100, that sound is still attractive, Hazel and Clara are old lady chic names that are gaining new fans, and Adalynn is the trendy name that people are noticing a lot recently. There's a good chance Valentina and Luna could join these names in the top100 according to my calculations, with Everly as a dark horse candidate.

As always, remember these are just fun predictions and aren't meant to be taken seriously. We never know when a trendy name stops being trendy, and when a falling star regains its spark. Pop culture is an instant game changer.

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